Blog
Iran–Israel Confrontation after the UN Snapback Sanctions
October 1, 2025This article provides a detailed foreign policy analysis of the escalating confrontation between Iran and Israel following the reimposition of UN snapback sanctions in September 2025. It examines the collapse of the JCPOA nuclear framework, Iran’s accelerating executions of alleged Mossad agents, Israel’s heightened security posture, and the broader geopolitical role of Russia and China. The analysis highlights the interplay of military, intelligence, and domestic pressures shaping both states, while underscoring the risks of miscalculation and renewed conflict in the absence of diplomacy or effective monitoring.
Alaska Summit: Trump and Putin Open Dialogue but Deliver No Breakthrough
August 17, 2025The August 15 Alaska summit between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin was marked by symbolism and cautious dialogue rather than concrete results. While both leaders described the talks as “productive,” no ceasefire or formal agreements were reached, though Trump signalled a shift toward pursuing a comprehensive peace deal. The meeting drew mixed reactions worldwide: NATO allies and EU leaders reaffirmed unwavering support for Ukraine, China welcomed dialogue, and Russia framed the summit as a diplomatic success. Domestically, U.S. reactions were polarized along partisan lines, while Russian officials celebrated the optics of engagement. Looking ahead, Trump has invited Ukraine and European leaders to Washington, with discussions expected to lay the groundwork for a potential trilateral summit with Putin.
Ukraine at the Crossroads: Strategic Risks & Diplomatic Tensions
August 9, 2025This report provides an in-depth assessment of the evolving war in Ukraine, integrating frontline military developments, the potential for Russian strategic breakthroughs in the Donbas, and the geopolitical stakes of the upcoming Alaska summit between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. It examines encirclement risks in key eastern cities, the growing role of drone warfare, NATO’s air defence gap, humanitarian concerns, and the diplomatic struggle over Ukraine’s territorial integrity. The analysis underscores the next six months as a decisive period that could redefine both the battlefield and the broader European security order.
Breaking Bonds: Azerbaijan’s Bold Shift Away from Russia
July 26, 2025This report delves into the escalating tensions between Azerbaijan and Russia, driven by key events like the downing of an Azerbaijani passenger plane and the deaths of Azerbaijani nationals in Russian custody. It explores Azerbaijan's growing independence and its move to strengthen ties with Turkey, the EU, and Ukraine. The report also highlights the broader geopolitical shifts in the South Caucasus, with Russia's influence waning and Azerbaijan positioning itself as a key player in the region. Ask ChatGPT
Shifting Tides: The Evolving Russia-Ukraine Conflict
July 19, 2025This article explores the shifting dynamics of the Russia-Ukraine war, focusing on key developments, including international responses, evolving military strategies, and diplomatic efforts. It highlights President Trump's recent shift in policy towards Ukraine, Russia’s growing military challenges, and the changing geopolitical landscape in regions like the South Caucasus. The piece also delves into the impact of military aid, sanctions, and the ongoing negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, providing an in-depth analysis of the conflict's broader implications.