Blog
Ukraine at the Crossroads: Strategic Risks & Diplomatic Tensions
August 9, 2025This report provides an in-depth assessment of the evolving war in Ukraine, integrating frontline military developments, the potential for Russian strategic breakthroughs in the Donbas, and the geopolitical stakes of the upcoming Alaska summit between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. It examines encirclement risks in key eastern cities, the growing role of drone warfare, NATO’s air defence gap, humanitarian concerns, and the diplomatic struggle over Ukraine’s territorial integrity. The analysis underscores the next six months as a decisive period that could redefine both the battlefield and the broader European security order.
Breaking Bonds: Azerbaijan’s Bold Shift Away from Russia
July 26, 2025This report delves into the escalating tensions between Azerbaijan and Russia, driven by key events like the downing of an Azerbaijani passenger plane and the deaths of Azerbaijani nationals in Russian custody. It explores Azerbaijan's growing independence and its move to strengthen ties with Turkey, the EU, and Ukraine. The report also highlights the broader geopolitical shifts in the South Caucasus, with Russia's influence waning and Azerbaijan positioning itself as a key player in the region. Ask ChatGPT
Shifting Tides: The Evolving Russia-Ukraine Conflict
July 19, 2025This article explores the shifting dynamics of the Russia-Ukraine war, focusing on key developments, including international responses, evolving military strategies, and diplomatic efforts. It highlights President Trump's recent shift in policy towards Ukraine, Russia’s growing military challenges, and the changing geopolitical landscape in regions like the South Caucasus. The piece also delves into the impact of military aid, sanctions, and the ongoing negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, providing an in-depth analysis of the conflict's broader implications.
Outcomes of the China-Central Asia Summit in Astana
June 18, 2025The Second China-Central Asia Summit, held in Astana on June 16–17, 2025, marked a significant step in strengthening China's ties with Central Asian countries. The summit produced a broad set of agreements across trade, infrastructure, transport, customs, and cultural cooperation. Key projects include the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway and major infrastructure upgrades, backed by over 1.5 billion yuan in Chinese funding. While the partnership offers economic opportunities, it also raises concerns about growing dependence on China and geopolitical competition, particularly with Russia, the US, and the EU. The summit reflects China's expanding role in the region and sets the stage for deeper, long-term engagement.
Operation Rising Lion and the Escalating Israel-Iran Conflict
June 15, 2025This article provides an in-depth analysis of the escalating military conflict between Israel and Iran following Israel’s launch of Operation Rising Lion on June 13, 2025. The operation, ordered by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, targeted Iranian nuclear facilities, military infrastructure, and senior leadership, resulting in significant casualties, including top Iranian generals and nuclear scientists. Iran responded with missile and drone attacks on Israeli cities and energy infrastructure, intensifying regional tensions. The conflict has raised fears of a broader Middle East war, disrupted global oil markets, and drawn in international powers, including the United States. The situation remains volatile, with uncertain outcomes for regional stability and global security.