Dependence is not the same thing as vulnerability.
We study the difference — in energy systems, in supply corridors, and in the infrastructure that states assume will keep working. Our assessments say how confident we are, and why.
Current assessment
Online scam issues in Central Asia and what can be learned from the Southeast Asia
Nowadays online scam and its varieties are becoming frequent headaches for not only state authorities and banks but also ordinary citizens of Central Asia and beyond. In today’s globalized realities, Central Asian scam criminal groups have been replicating from Southeast Asian scam industry.
Read the assessmentAlso on file
- 002From Central Asia to Caspian: Azerbaijan’s Integration in Regional Geopolitics
blog · 13 Oct 2026 - 003India in Central Asia: Strategic autonomy in Eurasia’s changing geopolitics?
blog · 30 Sept 2026 - 004The Guarantor Steps Back: the Gulf states after American primacy
blog · 24 Sept 2026
What we study
- 01Energy security and weaponised interdependence
- 02Chokepoints, corridors and the limits of rerouting
- 03The South Caucasus and the Caspian order
- 04Critical infrastructure under hybrid pressure
How we work
Every claim we publish carries a confidence grade and a named source. Where a figure rests on an institution describing its own performance, we say so, and we grade it lower.
That sounds obvious. It is not what the field does. We have traced headline statistics repeated for a decade back to a single official’s magazine article, and re-graded our own conclusions accordingly.
The test we apply
Not how many routes a state holds, but how many of them one adversary can reach.