Research
Hungary’s 2026 Election: Domestic Contest, European Consequences
March 31, 2026This report examines Hungary’s 2026 parliamentary election as a critical juncture shaped by domestic political competition, institutional constraints, and geopolitical pressures. It analyses campaign dynamics, external influence narratives, and potential post-election scenarios to assess how the outcome may affect Hungary’s governance trajectory and the European Union’s cohesion and strategic direction.
A War That Refused to End Quickly
March 31, 2026This article examines how the U.S.–Israeli campaign against Iran evolved from an expected short, coercive war into a prolonged conflict shaped by attrition, adaptation, and strategic asymmetry. It argues that despite significant military pressure, Iran has leveraged resilience, decentralized capabilities, and control over the Strait of Hormuz to reshape the battlefield and impose global economic costs. The analysis highlights the growing gap between tactical success and strategic outcomes, demonstrating why airpower and rapid escalation have failed to produce decisive results—and why the conflict is increasingly defined by endurance rather than victory.
Adaptation Under Fire: Operational Reality and the Limits of Airpower
March 24, 2026This report analyzes the evolving dynamics of the Iran war, focusing on the gap between operational outcomes and strategic realities. It demonstrates how Iran has preserved and adapted its military capabilities despite sustained airstrikes, shifting toward more resilient and efficient systems of warfare. Beyond the battlefield, the report examines how Tehran has leveraged energy disruption, internal power consolidation, and time asymmetry to build strategic leverage. Rather than portraying a decisive victory for any side, the analysis highlights a structural transformation in the conflict—where endurance, adaptation, and systemic influence increasingly shape outcomes. It also explores the implications of Iran’s emerging strategic posture, including escalation dynamics, proxy resilience, and the growing significance of the nuclear threshold in redefining regional power balances.
The Iran War: Global Strategic Consequences
March 14, 2026This report examines the strategic, economic, and geopolitical implications of the ongoing confrontation between the United States, Israel, and Iran. It analyzes Iran’s institutional resilience, asymmetric military strategy, disruptions to global energy markets, and the broader consequences for supply chains and great-power competition.
The Iran War and Its Global Consequences
March 10, 2026The escalating conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran is rapidly reshaping the geopolitical and economic landscape. What began as a military campaign has evolved into a crisis affecting global energy markets, technology supply chains, and the balance of power among major states. This report examines the strategic ambiguity surrounding the war’s objectives, Iran’s doctrine of endurance, and the broader international consequences—from rising oil prices and disrupted trade routes to the indirect advantages gained by rival powers such as Russia.