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Research

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U.S.-Iran Negotiations and the Broader Middle Eastern Landscape

May 5, 2025

This paper explores the evolving dynamics of U.S.-Iran relations, focusing on the shifting geopolitical landscape, the intricacies of nuclear diplomacy, and the strategic calculations of both nations in the context of regional security. It examines the impact of Donald Trump’s unorthodox foreign policy, particularly regarding Iran, and analyzes the critical negotiations and challenges surrounding Iran’s nuclear program. Additionally, it investigates the broader implications of these diplomatic efforts, particularly the regional responses and the internal political dynamics within both the U.S. and Iran. This paper argues that while the negotiations between the U.S. and Iran face significant obstacles, diplomatic engagement offers a more sustainable path compared to the alternative of military conflict or a nuclear-armed Iran.

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From the Fall of the Syrian Arab Republic to Genocide: Lessons for Central Asia

April 5, 2025

This article explores the lessons for Central Asia drawn from the geopolitical dynamics and conflicts in Syria and Ukraine. It examines the rapid technological changes in modern warfare and the complex international contradictions that influence regional stability. The author highlights the key threats faced by Kyrgyzstan and Central Asian countries, including military challenges, radicalization, and external pressures. The article also provides policy recommendations for defense modernization, regional cooperation, and economic development to enhance stability and security in the region. Through these lessons, the article underscores the importance of adapting to technological advancements and strengthening regional ties for a more secure future.

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U.S. Military Deployments to Bahrain, Escalating Tensions with Iran

March 31, 2025

This report provides a strategic assessment of recent U.S. military deployments to Bahrain, escalating tensions with Iran, and the potential for military action against Iran’s nuclear program. It examines the scale and purpose of U.S. airlift operations, the integration of air defense systems, and the broader military posture in the Middle East. Additionally, it analyzes Iran’s nuclear facilities, possible strike scenarios, and the geopolitical consequences of military escalation. The report concludes with an evaluation of potential outcomes, highlighting the critical balance between deterrence, conflict preparedness, and diplomatic efforts.

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Germany's Snap Elections: A Nation at Crossroads

February 22, 2025

This research article examines why Germany called snap elections amid political paralysis and economic recession. It explores the collapse of the previous coalition, the rise of extremist forces, current polling trends, and the looming challenge of forming a stable government. The analysis also considers the implications for Germany’s future role in Europe under potential new leadership.

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Unmasking OCCRP: Investigative Giant or U.S. Government Tool?

December 20, 2024

This article delves into the intricate relationship between the Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project (OCCRP) and the U.S. government, as revealed by a Mediapart investigation. It highlights the ethical challenges posed by OCCRP’s heavy reliance on U.S. funding, including restrictions on investigating U.S. interests and the influence of external pressures on its operations. The piece also explores the leadership of Drew Sullivan, OCCRP’s co-founder, and examines high-profile cases like Bechtel, showcasing the broader implications for investigative journalism’s independence and credibility.