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November 10, 2024

Analytical team

Trump's Historic Win and Its Global Impact: A New Era for America and the World

In a stunning political comeback, Donald Trump defeated Kamala Harris by a wide margin, reclaiming the U.S. presidency and solidifying his status as one of the most influential American leaders since Franklin D. Roosevelt. This victory, which makes Trump the first president since Grover Cleveland to serve non-consecutive terms, marks the beginning of a new era for both America and the world.

A Shift Toward Isolationism and Nationalism

Trump’s presidency represents a return to a more isolationist America, emphasizing "Americanism, not globalism." This shift is a stark departure from the internationalist stance that characterized U.S. policy since World War II, with alliances and trade now viewed primarily through the lens of transactional benefit. Trump’s approach signals a shift toward tariffs, reduced immigration, and decreased involvement in foreign conflicts, which may foster resentment abroad and unsettle global alliances.

Challenges for America’s Allies

Trump’s return to the White House has raised concerns among U.S. allies, particularly in Europe, where leaders fear they can no longer rely on American support. With Trump's focus on burden-sharing, European nations may need to significantly increase their defense spending and even consider nuclear capabilities to ensure their security in a more unpredictable geopolitical environment.

Impact on Foreign Policy and Trade

In foreign policy, Trump’s focus on a "peace through strength" strategy means potential high-stakes diplomacy and a pragmatic, sometimes combative stance toward global issues. Trump has hinted at a possible deal with Vladimir Putin on Ukraine, though it may involve concessions that will challenge European security interests. His approach toward China is similarly confrontational, with plans to impose steep tariffs to counter Beijing’s economic influence. This could disrupt global trade and deepen divisions within the U.S.-European alliance.

The Rise of Populist Nationalism

Trump’s victory will likely energize populist nationalist movements worldwide, inspiring leaders such as Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil and potentially Marine Le Pen in France. His approach may serve as a blueprint for nationalist leaders, emphasizing a strong domestic agenda and skepticism toward international institutions and treaties.

What Lies Ahead

As Trump enters his second term, America’s allies are bracing for a period of greater self-reliance and potential policy shifts that may alter the global balance of power. The question remains: Will Trump’s “America First” approach ultimately strengthen or isolate the United States? As the world watches closely, the coming years will test the resilience of America’s institutions, alliances, and role on the world stage.